Oh-oh, Alabama,
The devil fools with the best laid plan.

Last summer, I calculated what the U.S. House of Representatives would look like if the U.S. used statewide proportional representation by party registration to elect congresscritters:

Those focused specifically on Texas and California, but since the gerrymandering wars have continued and expanded, I’ve done the same with this series:

So today, let’s add the latest state to jump into the gerrymandering wars.

Alabama almost missed out.

They tried to start early, but in 2023 were blocked by the Supreme Court for being too racist about it, but that’s no problem for the current Court so now the 2023 map has been approved.

The early voting period for the current primary election has already started there, but today’s pro-coup Court is fine with redrawing the electoral maps after voting has already started.

Yeah, it really is that blatant.

Alabama’s 2023 map was drawn to give Republicans 6 out of the state’s 7 House seats.

This would still make them less extreme than Tennessee’s 100% Republican map, so at least there’s that?

And Alabama’s very Republican, so it’s not even that extreme as gerrymanders go.

Alabama, when I ran these numbers, had voter registrations of:

  • 36% Democrat
  • 56% Republican
  • 8% Other

But it had 2 Democratic representatives and 5 Republican representatives, which is 29% Democrat, to 71% Republican.

To actually represent their voters accurately, that Congressional delegations should have been:

  • 3 Democrats
  • 4 Republicans

(With 7 seats, the minimum for a seat is 14%; this makes Alabama the first state this series has looked at where Other doesn’t get even 1 representative.)

Like Virginia, Alabama’s previous delegation was quite close to accurate; it’s actually the party registration imbalance that’s extreme.

And it’s only a change of a single seat, but that’s not the important thing about it.

The Supreme Court used to claim that there was a “principle” that prevented it messing with an electoral map in the period just before an election, and has many times delayed implementation of rulings that would have a changed an electoral map in a way that favored the Democrats for that reason.

But now, it’s dropped that completely when it had an opportunity to change a map in favor of the Republicans after voting has already started.

There was already no reasonable doubt that this Supreme Court was an openly partisan body, going all-in for the coup.

I guess they’re comfortable enough about it to get really, really blatant now.

arkady

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